Certainty Equivalent Cashflow Calculator

✖The Expected Cash Flow is the expected net amount of cash and cash equivalents that are being transferred into and out of a business.ⓘ Expected Cash Flow [C]			+10% -10%
✖Risk Premium represents the additional return an investor requires for accepting higher levels of risk.ⓘ Risk Premium [R_p]			+10% -10%

✖Certainty Equivalent Cashflow represents the certain cash flow that an individual or organization would be indifferent to compared to a risky cash flow.ⓘ Certainty Equivalent Cashflow [CECF]

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Formula

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Certainty Equivalent Cashflow

Formula

`"CECF" = "C"/(1+"R"_{"p"})`

Example

`"487.8049"="20000"/(1+"40")`

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Certainty Equivalent Cashflow Solution

STEP 0: Pre-Calculation Summary

Formula Used

Certainty Equivalent Cashflow = Expected Cash Flow/(1+Risk Premium)
CECF = C/(1+R_p)
This formula uses 3 Variables

Variables Used

Certainty Equivalent Cashflow - Certainty Equivalent Cashflow represents the certain cash flow that an individual or organization would be indifferent to compared to a risky cash flow.
Expected Cash Flow - The Expected Cash Flow is the expected net amount of cash and cash equivalents that are being transferred into and out of a business.
Risk Premium - Risk Premium represents the additional return an investor requires for accepting higher levels of risk.

STEP 1: Convert Input(s) to Base Unit

Expected Cash Flow: 20000 --> No Conversion Required
Risk Premium: 40 --> No Conversion Required

STEP 2: Evaluate Formula

Substituting Input Values in Formula

CECF = C/(1+R_p) --> 20000/(1+40)

Evaluating ... ...

CECF = 487.80487804878

STEP 3: Convert Result to Output's Unit

487.80487804878 --> No Conversion Required

FINAL ANSWER

487.80487804878 ≈ 487.8049 <-- Certainty Equivalent Cashflow

(Calculation completed in 00.004 seconds)

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Created by Vishnu K

BMS College of Engineering (BMSCE), Bangalore

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Satyawati College (DU), New Delhi

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< 18 Capital Budgeting Calculators

Overall Cost of Capital

Go Overall Cost of Capital = (Market Value of the Firm’s Equity)/(Market Value of the Firm’s Equity+Market Value of the Firm’s Debt)*Required Rate of Return+(Market Value of the Firm’s Debt)/(Market Value of the Firm’s Equity+Market Value of the Firm’s Debt)*Cost of Debt*(1-Tax Rate)

Discounted Payback Period

Go Discounted Payback Period = ln(1/(1-((Initial Investment*Discount Rate)/Periodic Cash Flow)))/ln(1+Discount Rate)

Net Present Value (NPV) for even cash flow

Go Net Present Value (NPV) = Expected Cash Flow*((1-(1+Rate of Return)^-Number of Periods)/Rate of Return)-Initial Investment

Capital Asset Pricing Model

Go Expected Return on Investment = Risk Free Rate+Beta on Investment*(Expected Return on Market Portfolio-Risk Free Rate)

Double Declining Balance Method

Go Depreciation Expense = (((Purchase Cost-Salvage Value)/Useful Life Assumption)*2)*Beginning PP&E Book Value

Modified Internal Rate of Return

Go Modified Internal Rate of Return = 3*((Present Value/Cash Outlay)^(1/Number of Years)*(1+Interest)-1)

Cost of Retained Earnings

Go Cost of Retained Earnings = (Dividend/Current Stock Price)+Growth Rate

After-Tax Cost of Debt

Go After Tax Cost of Debt = (Risk Free Rate+Credit Spread)*(1-Tax Rate)

Beginning Inventory

Go Beginning Inventory = Cost of Goods Sold-Purchases+Ending Inventory

Terminal Value using Perpetuity Method

Go Terminal Value = Free Cash Flow/(Discount Rate-Growth Rate)

Trade Discount

Go Trade Discount = multi(List Price,Trade Discount Rate)

Expected Monetary Value

Go Expected Monetary Value = multi(Probability,Impact)

Accounting Rate of Return

Go Accounting Rate of Return = (Average Annual Profit/Initial Investment)*100

Inventory Carrying Cost

Go Inventory Carrying Cost = (Total Carrying Cost/Total Inventory Value)*100

Certainty Equivalent Cashflow

Go Certainty Equivalent Cashflow = Expected Cash Flow/(1+Risk Premium)

Payback Period

Go Payback Period = Initial Investment/Cashflow per Period

Terminal Value using Exit Multiple Method

Go Terminal Value = EBITDA at Last Period*Exit Multiple

Cost of Debt

Go Cost of Debt = Interest Expense*(1-Tax Rate)

Certainty Equivalent Cashflow Formula

Certainty Equivalent Cashflow = Expected Cash Flow/(1+Risk Premium)
CECF = C/(1+R_p)

What is Certainty Expected Cashflow?

The Certainty Equivalent Cash Flow (CECF) is a concept used to evaluate uncertain cash flows by converting them into their equivalent certain cash flows. This adjustment helps decision-makers better assess the value of an investment or project by considering the level of risk involved.
When faced with uncertain cash flows, individuals or organizations often have varying degrees of risk tolerance. Some may prefer a guaranteed return over an uncertain one, even if the uncertain return has a potentially higher expected value. The Certainty Equivalent Cash Flow represents the guaranteed cash flow that an investor would consider equal in value to the uncertain cash flow.
To determine the Certainty Equivalent Cash Flow, decision-makers apply a risk premium or discount factor to the uncertain cash flows.

How to Calculate Certainty Equivalent Cashflow?

Certainty Equivalent Cashflow calculator uses Certainty Equivalent Cashflow = Expected Cash Flow/(1+Risk Premium) to calculate the Certainty Equivalent Cashflow, The Certainty Equivalent Cashflow formula is a concept used in decision theory and risk analysis, particularly in evaluating investment projects or financial decisions under conditions of uncertainty. Certainty Equivalent Cashflow is denoted by CECF symbol.

How to calculate Certainty Equivalent Cashflow using this online calculator? To use this online calculator for Certainty Equivalent Cashflow, enter Expected Cash Flow (C) & Risk Premium (R_p) and hit the calculate button. Here is how the Certainty Equivalent Cashflow calculation can be explained with given input values -> 487.8049 = 20000/(1+40).

FAQ

What is Certainty Equivalent Cashflow?

The Certainty Equivalent Cashflow formula is a concept used in decision theory and risk analysis, particularly in evaluating investment projects or financial decisions under conditions of uncertainty and is represented as CECF = C/(1+R_p) or Certainty Equivalent Cashflow = Expected Cash Flow/(1+Risk Premium). The Expected Cash Flow is the expected net amount of cash and cash equivalents that are being transferred into and out of a business & Risk Premium represents the additional return an investor requires for accepting higher levels of risk.

How to calculate Certainty Equivalent Cashflow?

The Certainty Equivalent Cashflow formula is a concept used in decision theory and risk analysis, particularly in evaluating investment projects or financial decisions under conditions of uncertainty is calculated using Certainty Equivalent Cashflow = Expected Cash Flow/(1+Risk Premium). To calculate Certainty Equivalent Cashflow, you need Expected Cash Flow (C) & Risk Premium (R_p). With our tool, you need to enter the respective value for Expected Cash Flow & Risk Premium and hit the calculate button. You can also select the units (if any) for Input(s) and the Output as well.

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