Expected Monetary Value Solution

STEP 0: Pre-Calculation Summary
Formula Used
Expected Monetary Value = multi(Probability,Impact)
EMV = multi(Po,Imp)
This formula uses 1 Functions, 3 Variables
Functions Used
multi - Multiplication is the process of calculating the product of two or more numbers., multi(a1, …, an)
Variables Used
Expected Monetary Value - Expected Monetary Value represents the average financial outcome when considering the probability of various possible outcomes occurring.
Probability - Probability represents the probability of the ith outcome occurring.
Impact - Impact is the financial result of the outcome and can range from any negative number to any positive number, depending on if the impact is positive or negative on the firm’s bottom line.
STEP 1: Convert Input(s) to Base Unit
Probability: 0.6 --> No Conversion Required
Impact: 130000 --> No Conversion Required
STEP 2: Evaluate Formula
Substituting Input Values in Formula
EMV = multi(Po,Imp) --> multi(0.6,130000)
Evaluating ... ...
EMV = 78000
STEP 3: Convert Result to Output's Unit
78000 --> No Conversion Required
FINAL ANSWER
78000 <-- Expected Monetary Value
(Calculation completed in 00.004 seconds)

Credits

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Created by Vishnu K
BMS College of Engineering (BMSCE), Bangalore
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Verified by Kashish Arora
Satyawati College (DU), New Delhi
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18 Capital Budgeting Calculators

Overall Cost of Capital
​ Go Overall Cost of Capital = (Market Value of the Firm’s Equity)/(Market Value of the Firm’s Equity+Market Value of the Firm’s Debt)*Required Rate of Return+(Market Value of the Firm’s Debt)/(Market Value of the Firm’s Equity+Market Value of the Firm’s Debt)*Cost of Debt*(1-Tax Rate)
Discounted Payback Period
​ Go Discounted Payback Period = ln(1/(1-((Initial Investment*Discount Rate)/Periodic Cash Flow)))/ln(1+Discount Rate)
Net Present Value (NPV) for even cash flow
​ Go Net Present Value (NPV) = Expected Cash Flow*((1-(1+Rate of Return)^-Number of Periods)/Rate of Return)-Initial Investment
Capital Asset Pricing Model
​ Go Expected Return on Investment = Risk Free Rate+Beta on Investment*(Expected Return on Market Portfolio-Risk Free Rate)
Double Declining Balance Method
​ Go Depreciation Expense = (((Purchase Cost-Salvage Value)/Useful Life Assumption)*2)*Beginning PP&E Book Value
Modified Internal Rate of Return
​ Go Modified Internal Rate of Return = 3*((Present Value/Cash Outlay)^(1/Number of Years)*(1+Interest)-1)
Cost of Retained Earnings
​ Go Cost of Retained Earnings = (Dividend/Current Stock Price)+Growth Rate
After-Tax Cost of Debt
​ Go After Tax Cost of Debt = (Risk Free Rate+Credit Spread)*(1-Tax Rate)
Beginning Inventory
​ Go Beginning Inventory = Cost of Goods Sold-Purchases+Ending Inventory
Terminal Value using Perpetuity Method
​ Go Terminal Value = Free Cash Flow/(Discount Rate-Growth Rate)
Trade Discount
​ Go Trade Discount = multi(List Price,Trade Discount Rate)
Expected Monetary Value
​ Go Expected Monetary Value = multi(Probability,Impact)
Accounting Rate of Return
​ Go Accounting Rate of Return = (Average Annual Profit/Initial Investment)*100
Inventory Carrying Cost
​ Go Inventory Carrying Cost = (Total Carrying Cost/Total Inventory Value)*100
Certainty Equivalent Cashflow
​ Go Certainty Equivalent Cashflow = Expected Cash Flow/(1+Risk Premium)
Payback Period
​ Go Payback Period = Initial Investment/Cashflow per Period
Terminal Value using Exit Multiple Method
​ Go Terminal Value = EBITDA at Last Period*Exit Multiple
Cost of Debt
​ Go Cost of Debt = Interest Expense*(1-Tax Rate)

Expected Monetary Value Formula

Expected Monetary Value = multi(Probability,Impact)
EMV = multi(Po,Imp)

What us Expected Monetary Value?

Expected Monetary Value (EMV) is a fundamental concept in decision theory and risk analysis, particularly in the context of project management and financial decision-making. It provides a quantitative measure of the potential value or outcome associated with uncertain events or scenarios. EMV is calculated by multiplying the value of each possible outcome of an uncertain event by its probability of occurrence and summing these products.
In practical terms, Expected Monetary Value enables decision-makers to evaluate the potential outcomes of a decision or project in monetary terms, accounting for both the likelihood of occurrence and the associated financial impact. By considering all possible outcomes and their probabilities, decision-makers can make more informed choices that maximize expected value or utility.
For instance, in project management, various risks and uncertainties may impact project outcomes, such as cost overruns, delays, or changes in market conditions.

How to Calculate Expected Monetary Value?

Expected Monetary Value calculator uses Expected Monetary Value = multi(Probability,Impact) to calculate the Expected Monetary Value, The Expected Monetary Value is a concept commonly used in decision theory and risk analysis to quantify the potential outcomes of uncertain events or decisions in terms of their monetary value. Expected Monetary Value is denoted by EMV symbol.

How to calculate Expected Monetary Value using this online calculator? To use this online calculator for Expected Monetary Value, enter Probability (Po) & Impact (Imp) and hit the calculate button. Here is how the Expected Monetary Value calculation can be explained with given input values -> 78000 = multi(0.6,130000).

FAQ

What is Expected Monetary Value?
The Expected Monetary Value is a concept commonly used in decision theory and risk analysis to quantify the potential outcomes of uncertain events or decisions in terms of their monetary value and is represented as EMV = multi(Po,Imp) or Expected Monetary Value = multi(Probability,Impact). Probability represents the probability of the ith outcome occurring & Impact is the financial result of the outcome and can range from any negative number to any positive number, depending on if the impact is positive or negative on the firm’s bottom line.
How to calculate Expected Monetary Value?
The Expected Monetary Value is a concept commonly used in decision theory and risk analysis to quantify the potential outcomes of uncertain events or decisions in terms of their monetary value is calculated using Expected Monetary Value = multi(Probability,Impact). To calculate Expected Monetary Value, you need Probability (Po) & Impact (Imp). With our tool, you need to enter the respective value for Probability & Impact and hit the calculate button. You can also select the units (if any) for Input(s) and the Output as well.
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