Probability of Default Regression Model Solution

STEP 0: Pre-Calculation Summary
Formula Used
Probability of Default = 1/(1+exp(-Linear Combination))
PD = 1/(1+exp(-z))
This formula uses 1 Functions, 2 Variables
Functions Used
exp - n an exponential function, the value of the function changes by a constant factor for every unit change in the independent variable., exp(Number)
Variables Used
Probability of Default - Probability of Default is a financial term used to measure the likelihood that a borrower will default on their debt obligations within a specific time frame.
Linear Combination - A Linear Combination is a mathematical operation that involves multiplying each element in a set of numbers (or vectors) by a constant and then summing the results.
STEP 1: Convert Input(s) to Base Unit
Linear Combination: 0.03 --> No Conversion Required
STEP 2: Evaluate Formula
Substituting Input Values in Formula
PD = 1/(1+exp(-z)) --> 1/(1+exp(-0.03))
Evaluating ... ...
PD = 0.50749943755062
STEP 3: Convert Result to Output's Unit
0.50749943755062 --> No Conversion Required
FINAL ANSWER
0.50749943755062 0.507499 <-- Probability of Default
(Calculation completed in 00.004 seconds)

Credits

Created by Kashish Arora
Satyawati College (DU), New Delhi
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Go Risk Adjusted Return on Capital = (Revenue-Expenses-Expected Loss+Income From Capital)/Capital Cost
Sortino Ratio
Go Sortino Ratio = (Expected Portfolio Return-Risk Free Rate)/Standard Deviation of Downside
Maximum Drawdown
Go Maximum Drawdown = ((Trough Value-Peak Value)/Peak Value)*100
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Go Modigliani-Modigliani measure = Return on Adjusted Portfolio-Return on Market Portfolio
Interest Rate Risk
Go Interest Rate Risk = (Original Price-New Price)/New Price
Sterling Ratio
Go Sterling Ratio = (Compound Annual Growth Rate/(Average Maximum Drawdown-10))*-1
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Go Risk Tolerance = (Public Equity Exposure*0.35)/Monthly Gross Income
Market Risk Premium
Go Market Risk Premium = Expected Equity Market Rate-Risk Free Rate
Basis Risk
Go Basis Risk = Future Price of Contract-Spot Price of Hedged Asset
Credit Value at Risk
Go Credit Value at Risk = Worst Credit Loss-Expected Credit Loss
Economic Capital
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Upside/Downside Ratio
Go Upside/Downside Ratio = Advancing Issues/Declining Issues
Credit Spread
Go Credit Spread = Corporate Bond Yield-Treasury Bond Yield
Probability of Default Regression Model
Go Probability of Default = 1/(1+exp(-Linear Combination))
Default Risk Premium
Go Default Risk Premium = Interest Rate-Risk Free Rate
Pain Ratio
Go Pain Ratio = Effective Return/Pain Index
Risk Exposure
Go Risk Exposure = Risk Impact*Probability
Risk Determination
Go Risk = Risk Impact*Likelihood
Loss Given Default
Go Loss Given Default = 1-Recovery Rate

Probability of Default Regression Model Formula

Probability of Default = 1/(1+exp(-Linear Combination))
PD = 1/(1+exp(-z))

What is Probability of Default?

The Probability of Default measures the likelihood of a borrower defaulting on debt obligations within a specific timeframe. It is an essential tool for credit risk assessment and management. It helps lenders make informed decisions, set risk-based pricing, and allocate capital reserves.

How to Calculate Probability of Default Regression Model?

Probability of Default Regression Model calculator uses Probability of Default = 1/(1+exp(-Linear Combination)) to calculate the Probability of Default, The Probability of Default Regression Model formula is a statistical technique for estimating probability. It explains the relationship between the borrower’s characteristics and the likelihood of default. Probability of Default is denoted by PD symbol.

How to calculate Probability of Default Regression Model using this online calculator? To use this online calculator for Probability of Default Regression Model, enter Linear Combination (z) and hit the calculate button. Here is how the Probability of Default Regression Model calculation can be explained with given input values -> 0.509999 = 1/(1+exp(-0.03)).

FAQ

What is Probability of Default Regression Model?
The Probability of Default Regression Model formula is a statistical technique for estimating probability. It explains the relationship between the borrower’s characteristics and the likelihood of default and is represented as PD = 1/(1+exp(-z)) or Probability of Default = 1/(1+exp(-Linear Combination)). A Linear Combination is a mathematical operation that involves multiplying each element in a set of numbers (or vectors) by a constant and then summing the results.
How to calculate Probability of Default Regression Model?
The Probability of Default Regression Model formula is a statistical technique for estimating probability. It explains the relationship between the borrower’s characteristics and the likelihood of default is calculated using Probability of Default = 1/(1+exp(-Linear Combination)). To calculate Probability of Default Regression Model, you need Linear Combination (z). With our tool, you need to enter the respective value for Linear Combination and hit the calculate button. You can also select the units (if any) for Input(s) and the Output as well.
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